Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.159768 0.179840 0.200863 0.224471 0.250187 0.277298 0.307984
2025-02-16 0.133484 0.160718 0.190695 0.225956 0.266103 0.310200 0.362100
2025-02-23 0.117387 0.149821 0.187069 0.232606 0.286354 0.347351 0.421363
2025-03-02 0.100051 0.135054 0.176902 0.229931 0.294603 0.370172 0.464352
2025-03-09 0.087293 0.124141 0.169853 0.229680 0.304787 0.394804 0.509595
2025-03-16 0.076290 0.114082 0.162646 0.228152 0.312606 0.416178 0.550994
2025-03-23 0.069577 0.108834 0.160879 0.232951 0.328015 0.446894 0.604316
2025-03-30 0.062139 0.101741 0.155915 0.232909 0.336752 0.469066 0.647178
2025-04-06 0.055642 0.095262 0.151125 0.232510 0.344593 0.489918 0.688520
2025-04-13 0.049995 0.089417 0.146658 0.232043 0.351977 0.510032 0.729068
2025-04-20 0.045740 0.085235 0.144168 0.234001 0.362458 0.534234 0.775263
2025-04-27 0.043068 0.083255 0.144688 0.240121 0.378715 0.566383 0.832518
2025-05-04 0.039096 0.078931 0.141574 0.241045 0.388083 0.590040 0.879881
2025-05-11 0.036156 0.076030 0.140407 0.244705 0.401375 0.619333 0.935496
2025-05-18 0.034486 0.075151 0.142319 0.253031 0.421619 0.658700 1.005695
2025-05-25 0.030885 0.070434 0.137670 0.250898 0.426249 0.676123 1.045850
2025-06-01 0.028089 0.066883 0.134643 0.251051 0.434136 0.698191 1.092772
2025-06-08 0.025315 0.063052 0.130832 0.249659 0.439484 0.716575 1.134717
2025-06-15 0.023877 0.061694 0.131167 0.254950 0.455148 0.750162 1.198774
2025-06-22 0.021776 0.058742 0.128452 0.254989 0.462537 0.771671 1.245832
2025-06-29 0.019817 0.055850 0.125614 0.254610 0.469139 0.792036 1.291483
2025-07-06 0.018031 0.053111 0.122838 0.254137 0.475469 0.812011 1.336803
2025-07-13 0.016719 0.051277 0.121619 0.256256 0.485955 0.838367 1.391835